The Threat-Exposure Engine
Exposure intelligence, in plain terms
92% safe
What this is

An engine that constantly answers one question: how much risk are we exposed to right now?

Picture something valuable making a journey through somewhere risky. This engine reads the whole picture and turns it into one honest, plain number — your exposure to danger right now — together with the reasons behind it.

🌦️
In plain terms — like a weather map for danger. A weather map doesn't just say "it'll rain"; it shows where, how heavy, and how sure it is. This does the same for risk along a route.
92% RISKY SAFE
Chance of getting through safely
and we're 90% sure, give or take a few points
Live nowUse it today. Interactive maps, the explanation, and journey playback all run in the demo.
Funded buildPhase I. Back every number with real physics, real data, and an independent test.
LaterPhase II. Run it onboard and connect it into the systems people already use.

What makes it different

Most warning systems give you a red light and nothing else. This one always shows its work.

📊

One clear number

A single 0–100% safety score anyone can read at a glance — no special training needed.

🔍

The reasons behind it

It ranks what's pushing the risk up right now, so you can see why, not just how bad.

🤝

You stay in charge

It advises — it never takes over. A person still makes every decision.

How to read this pitchThe next five screens each walk through one part of the live tool — what you're looking at, the everyday version of it, and why it's useful. No jargon required.
The main view

A map that shows where it's safe — and where it isn't.

🗺️
Like a weather radar or a flood map. Green areas are calm; red areas are where the danger is concentrated. The hazards have a "reach" around them — drawn as circles, the same way a storm cell or a flood zone has an edge.
danger caution start (safe) you are here destination

Two maps, side by side. In the real tool you can put two plans next to each other — "what if we go this way vs that way?" — and watch both safety scores update live as you change things.

The numbers on screen, in plain English

92% safe
Roughly: 9 times out of 10, you'd get through fine.
± a few points
How sure the tool is — like the "margin of error" on a poll. It's never falsely precise.
Low / Moderate / High
A simple traffic light, so you don't have to interpret the number yourself.
Exposure so far
How much danger you've picked up on the trip up to this point.
Biggest factor
The single thing weighing on your safety most right now.
Safety score
92%
getting through safely
How sure
±4
small margin = confident
Risk level
Low
clear of the danger
Hazards nearby
2
being tracked live
The dials you can turnHow fast you go, how cautious or bold you want to be, the weather, signal interference — change any of these and the map redraws instantly. It's a "what changes if…" tool, not a static report.
The scenario maps

Stress-test the plan against easy, tricky, and nasty.

🧪
Like a fire drill, or stress-testing your finances against a mild dip versus a full recession. You run the same plan through different situations to see how well it holds up — and to check the tool reacts sensibly.
Live risk mapThe calm route
start
How you travel:
Why this builds trustAs the situations get harder — calm → tricky → gauntlet — the safety score should drop in a sensible, predictable way. If it does, you know the tool isn't guessing. That "does it behave reasonably?" check is the first thing any risk professional wants to see.
The explanation

It always shows its work.

📋
Like a credit-score breakdown. You don't just get "92" — you get the ranked list of what's helping and hurting, biggest first. A good doctor doesn't only say "you're at risk"; they tell you why, and how confident they are.

What's weighing on the score right now

Each bar shows how much that one factor is pulling your safety down at this moment. They're ranked, so the most important thing is always on top.

Sitting near a hazard's edgehow close the path is to a danger zone
A moving hazard closing insomething dangerous getting nearer
Rough conditions up highweather making things less predictable
Being easy to spothow exposed the route is
💬

A plain-English summary

"You're staying clear of the real danger zones; today your risk is mostly about the weather. Confidence is high." — one sentence, no decoding required.

🧾

Every reason has a receipt

Each factor traces back to where it came from — the map, the route, the conditions — so nothing is a mystery number. You can always ask "says who?"

It tells you when it's unsureThe "give or take" margin gets wider in the dangerous parts of a journey and narrows once you're clear. The tool is honest about its own uncertainty rather than projecting false confidence.
How it works · built vs. being built

The honest version: what's real today, and what gets built.

In plain terms — a bad outcome needs several things to go wrong in a row. Like the "Swiss cheese" idea in safety: trouble only gets through if every slice's hole lines up. If any one step holds, you're fine. The safety score is simply the maths of that chain.
Spotted? Tracked? Reached? Hit? Get through92%

Every link is visible. Because the score is built from these steps rather than pulled from thin air, the engine can point to exactly which step is the weak one — that's what powers the "why" screen.

What's built today — and what the funded build adds

Being straight about this is the point. The screens, the explanations and the live maps are real; the exact numbers are sensible stand-ins until the engineering behind each one is finished.

Drawing the danger zones

Being built
NowEach zone is built from a threat's reach — how far it can see and how far it can strike — not hand-drawn.
Funded buildBack the shapes with real missile-flight physics and a full 3-D volume with a ceiling.

Scoring the chain

Being built
NowThe score is the chain of steps a threat must complete — a real, break-it-down calculation.
Funded buildWork out each step's odds from the physics instead of using stand-in values.

"How sure" we are

Being built
NowThe margin of error comes from running thousands of slightly different what-ifs and seeing the spread.
Funded buildFeed the real-world spread of inputs and check the margin is honestly calibrated.

What's driving the score

Being built
NowThe ranked factors are the model's own sensitivity to each input — not a fixed list.
Funded buildCompute the true sensitivity from the finished model.

Respecting real limits

Being built
NowEvasion respects how hard a craft can turn and how steeply it can climb — not a line that ignores reality.
Funded buildA full 3-D turn-and-climb model bounding which moves are actually flyable.

Running onboard

To build
NowSoftware-only by design — intended to run on standard onboard processors and plug into existing systems.
Funded buildReal data connectors and speed testing on representative equipment.

How it would run, end to end

Data comes inthreat · route · weather Tidied upcleaned & lined up The engineruns onboard Score + how sure Plain explanation fast enough to be useful · nothing changed on the aircraft itself

One simple flow. Data comes in, gets tidied up, the engine scores it onboard, and the result is shown with its confidence and its reasons.

Build status & validation

Live today, hardened next.

One view of where every part stands — usable in the demo now, scheduled for the funded build, or kept for later — plus the targets the numbers must hit before anyone relies on them.

What's where

CapabilityNow (demo)Funded buildLater
Risk map & heat-mapLiveTie to real physics
Scenario mapsLiveMore test casesReal-world scenarios
The "why" / ranked factorsLiveModel-derived weightsOperator trials
Danger-zone shapesConceptPhysics-based shapesFull 3-D
Chain scoringConceptPhysics-based oddsMultiple craft
Confidence / marginConceptReal spread + calibration
Movement limitsConceptReal turn limitsAuto-reroute
Running onboardTo buildData connectors + speed testsHook into existing systems
Independent testTo buildRuns vs. targetsHardware-in-the-loop

The targets the numbers must hit

These are set before the runs — pass/fail criteria, not after-the-fact claims. They're targets today, and get filled in with tested results.

CheckTargetWhat it proves
Behaves sensiblyMust passA harder situation always scores lower — the engine isn't guessing.
Honest margin≥ 95% calibratedThe "give or take" is real, not decoration.
Fast enoughunder 25 msRuns in time on standard onboard hardware.
Wide coverage100+ casesTested across many situations, automatically.

The ask

The screens, the explanations and the maps are proven. The funding turns sensible stand-in numbers into tested, defensible ones — real physics, real data, and an independent test.

The payoff

A clear, explainable risk read that runs onboard, keeps a person in charge, and works for defense and civilian risk alike.

Putting it together

Watch the risk rise and fall — then decide.

⏱️
A journey isn't one moment. Like watching a storm move across the map over an evening, you can rewind and fast-forward to see the safety score dip as you pass through danger and recover once you're clear.
starthalf-wayarrive safe risky deepest dip

The safety score over the whole trip. It stays high, dips as the route nears the danger, then climbs back. You can pause on any moment to see the full explanation for that instant.

What it is — and what it isn't

It is a decision instrument

A precise, explainable read on the risk that helps a person weigh a plan and spot the biggest concern early.

🚫

It is not the decision-maker

It never acts on its own. The person stays in control and makes the call — the engine just makes that call far better informed.

The one-line summaryIt turns a complicated, high-stakes risk picture into a single honest number, the reasons behind it, and how sure it is — fast enough to be useful, and clear enough that you don't need to be an expert to trust it.
See it for yourselfThe live version is at drone.pionedata.com. Try the "gauntlet" situation, drag the timeline into the danger, and open the explanation to watch the reasons change in real time.